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Predicting presidential election outcomes: When the S&P 500 has been higher the 3 months before the election, the incumbent party usually won, while when stocks were lower, the incumbent party usually lost. This metric was incorrect in 1956, 1968 and 1980. The S&P 500 is positive 6.66% so far since August 1st, 2020. https://markets.businessinsider.com//stock-market-correctl#

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